Nationwide, 4.6 percent of mortgages were in some stage of delinquency (30 days or more past due, including those in foreclosure) in August 2017, according to a report released today from property information provider CoreLogic. This represents a 0.6 percentage point year-over-year decline in the overall delinquency rate compared with August 2016, when it was 5.2 percent.

The foreclosure inventory rate, which measures the share of mortgages in some stage of the foreclosure process, was 0.6 percent as of August, down from 0.9 percent in August 2016. This was the lowest foreclosure inventory rate for the month of August in 11 years since August 2006 when it was 0.5 percent.

The rate for early-stage delinquencies, defined as 30 to 59 days past due, was 2 percent in August 2017, down slightly from 2.1 percent in August 2016. The share of mortgages that were 60 to 89 days past due in August 2017 was 0.7 percent, unchanged from August 2016.

In Massachusetts, 4.4 percent of all mortgages were 30 days or more past due in August 2017, compared to 5 percent in August 2016. The foreclosure rate was 0.8 percent in August 2017, down from 1.1 percent in August 2016.

Nationwide, the serious delinquency rate (90 days or more past due) declined 0.5 percentage points year over year from 2.4 percent in August 2016 to 1.9 percent in August 2017. The 1.9 percent serious delinquency rate in June, July and August of this year marks the lowest level for any month since October 2007 when it was also 1.9 percent, and is also the lowest for the month of August since 2007 when the serious delinquency rate was 1.7 percent.

Alaska was the only state to experience a year-over-year increase in its serious delinquency rate in August 2017.

“The effect of the drop in crude oil prices since 2014 has taken a toll on mortgage loan performance in some markets,” Frank Nothaft, chief economist for CoreLogic, said in a statement. “Crude oil prices this August were less than half their level three years ago. This has led to oil-related layoffs and an increase in loan delinquency rates in states like Alaska and in oil-centric metro areas like Houston.”

Since early-stage delinquencies can be volatile, CoreLogic also analyzes transition rates. The share of mortgages that transitioned from current to 30 days past due was 0.9 percent in August 2017, unchanged from August 2016. By comparison, in January 2007 just before the start of the financial crisis, the current-to-30-day transition rate was 1.2 percent and it peaked in November 2008 at 2 percent.

“Serious delinquency and foreclosure rates are at their lowest levels in more than a decade, signaling the final stages of recovery in the U.S. housing market,” Frank Martell, president and CEO of CoreLogic, said in a statement. “As the construction and mortgage industries move forward, there needs to be not only a ramp up in homebuilding, but also a focus on maintaining prudent underwriting practices to avoid repeating past mistakes.”

Mortgage Delinquency Rates Lowest In More Than A Decade

by Banker & Tradesman time to read: 2 min
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